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Sun, Mar 7, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Alaves vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 49% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.5%6.4%8.8%
If Win <1%17.6%8.0%5.3%
If Draw <1%12.2%6.9%9.4%
If Lose <1%9.0%5.1%11.1%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.2%9.2%3.7%
If Win <1%28.4%10.4%1.9%
If Draw <1%20.2%9.8%4.0%
If Lose <1%16.8%8.1%5.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.9Avg goals conceded1.0
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatAth Bilbao
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 7 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Ath Bilbao 0–0 Alaves