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Alaves vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 44% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Mar 7, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
La Liga
Ath Bilbao
4-5-3Rating 1833
Form: DWWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.3%13.2%2.3%
If Win <1%20.7%15.0%<1%
If Draw <1%15.2%13.3%1.7%
If Lose <1%11.4%11.0%3.3%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.8%6.7%8.0%
If Win <1%8.1%8.2%5.2%
If Draw <1%4.3%5.5%9.4%
If Lose <1%3.5%4.0%12.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatAth Bilbao
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 42% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatAth Bilbao
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 7 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Ath Bilbao 0–0 Alaves