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Bayern Munich vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 87% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW
vs
Model Probability
87%
Draw 9%
5%
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%1.5%16.9%4.2%
If Win <1%2.2%3.2%10.4%1.6%
If Draw <1%1.5%2.0%14.2%2.7%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.7%17.6%3.0%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.0%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 85.7%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 79.7%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 75.5%99.8%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatHamburger SV
8Games played9
3.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.0Avg goals conceded2.2
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatHamburger SV
15All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
3.7Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich