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Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 44% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.3%11.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%21.8%7.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.0%10.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%33.8%13.3%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.7%17.6%3.9%
If Win <1%1.7%2.3%12.0%2.1%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.2%18.4%3.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%20.9%6.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
9Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored0.9
2.2Avg goals conceded2.4
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin