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Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-1Rating 1739
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.4%10.1%2.3%<1%
If Win <1%17.3%11.1%1.1%<1%
If Draw <1%11.6%9.3%1.9%<1%
If Lose <1%9.0%8.2%2.9%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.2%1.6%18.1%3.9%
If Win <1%2.0%2.1%12.8%1.7%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.1%18.1%3.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%21.1%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatWerder Bremen
9Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored2.1
2.2Avg goals conceded1.8
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatWerder Bremen
6All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV