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Mainz vs FC Koln Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 51% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
24%
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-4Rating 1686
Form: LDDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.8%8.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%19.1%3.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.5%7.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.3%10.5%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.0%11.8%1.6%
If Win <1%2.0%2.8%7.3%<1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.6%13.0%2.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%18.7%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatFC Koln
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored1.1
2.1Avg goals conceded1.6
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 33% / 44%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatFC Koln
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 10 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-17): FC Koln 2–1 Mainz