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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Marseille vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 55% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.3%20.0%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%22.4%11.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.0%18.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.3%24.6%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.1%11.4%4.5%
If Win <1%4.1%3.7%9.0%2.3%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.7%12.7%4.7%
If Lose <1%1.5%2.2%16.4%7.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatTroyes
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.6Avg goals conceded2.2
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatTroyes
7All-time wins (10 meetings, 2 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2023-04-16): Marseille 3–1 Troyes