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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Troyes vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 49% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
25%
49%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.1%58.0%11.8%<1%<1%
If Win 20.4%65.8%11.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.0%55.3%14.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.4%48.4%12.5%<1%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.2%19.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.2%12.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.3%19.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.3%24.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatMonaco
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
2.2Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatMonaco
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2023-03-05): Troyes 2–2 Monaco