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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lorient vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Lorient has a 41% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.8%3.3%11.6%4.1%
If Win <1%5.5%4.7%6.9%2.5%
If Draw <1%3.0%3.3%10.5%4.0%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.5%13.6%5.4%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.5%2.0%14.8%5.7%
If Win <1%3.2%3.0%11.3%2.6%
If Draw <1%1.5%2.2%15.7%5.4%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.2%18.9%8.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatMarseille
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Lorient 2–0 Marseille