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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lyon vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 57% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.1%2.2%14.2%5.7%
If Win <1%4.7%4.3%9.1%2.6%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.6%13.7%4.8%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.6%15.8%6.4%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.3%38.5%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win 10.4%44.6%13.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 5.2%32.6%14.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.1%27.8%12.6%1.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatLorient
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.0
0.4Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatLorient
11All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-12): Lyon 2–0 Lorient