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Lyon vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 56% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-2Rating 1820
Form: WLWLW
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
Ligue 1
Lorient
3-3-3Rating 1741
Form: LDWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.5%2.4%9.2%1.7%
If Win <1%4.4%4.5%4.9%<1%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.8%8.7%1.3%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.9%10.7%2.0%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%37.7%14.1%<1%<1%
If Win 1.7%45.0%13.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%34.4%13.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%28.4%12.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatLorient
9Games played9
1.7Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded0.9
56% / 22% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatLorient
11All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-12): Lyon 2–0 Lorient