← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Lorient vs Lille

Lorient vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lorient has a 36% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lorient
3-3-3Rating 1741
Form: LDWWL
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Ligue 1
Lille
5-3-1Rating 1800
Form: WDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%33.5%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%41.5%15.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%32.8%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%25.2%12.4%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.4%2.7%8.8%1.6%
If Win <1%3.8%3.3%5.9%<1%
If Draw <1%2.0%1.9%9.7%1.8%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.2%13.1%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLille
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored1.3
0.9Avg goals conceded0.7
33% / 33% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 33% / 11%
40% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLille
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 3 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Lille 1–1 Lorient