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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Strasbourg vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 51% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1787
Form: LDWWL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.8%2.0%14.7%5.6%
If Win <1%4.2%4.6%10.2%2.9%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.4%14.1%5.1%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.4%19.1%6.8%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.5%12.3%8.3%3.7%1.0%
If Win 1.3%13.5%9.6%1.6%<1%
If Draw <1%8.5%8.1%3.8%1.0%
If Lose <1%5.6%5.6%5.6%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatLorient
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.0
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatLorient
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg