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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

PSG vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 76% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
76%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.1%2.1%15.3%5.3%
If Win <1%5.4%3.3%7.6%1.8%
If Draw <1%3.0%3.1%12.7%3.9%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.1%16.0%6.4%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 62.0%90.7%4.3%<1%<1%
If Win 65.6%92.3%3.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 55.0%87.5%5.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 46.9%84.1%6.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLorient
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLorient
14All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient