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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 59% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%1.7%15.8%5.2%
If Win <1%4.3%4.9%8.6%3.0%
If Draw <1%2.4%1.8%12.9%5.0%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%18.3%6.6%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.5%17.4%10.7%2.2%<1%
If Win 2.7%20.8%12.2%1.0%<1%
If Draw 1.2%13.6%10.2%2.7%<1%
If Lose <1%10.8%7.6%3.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatToulouse
8All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-04-17): Lens 3–2 Toulouse