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Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Bournemouth vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 37% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.2%9.2%2.5%
If Win <1%33.1%9.9%2.0%
If Draw <1%25.0%8.4%3.5%
If Lose <1%22.0%7.9%4.7%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.9%5.1%14.3%
If Win <1%10.9%4.8%11.2%
If Draw <1%8.2%4.1%14.0%
If Lose <1%5.3%3.4%16.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatManchester Utd
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
1.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-20): Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester Utd