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Premier League
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 47% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.4%7.3%4.2%
If Win 1.2%30.2%9.1%2.4%
If Draw <1%21.1%8.0%3.8%
If Lose <1%18.7%7.7%4.7%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.7%8.7%3.4%
If Win <1%28.2%8.9%2.0%
If Draw <1%21.6%7.5%4.3%
If Lose <1%16.2%7.0%5.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatLeeds
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatLeeds
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-09-14): Leeds 4–1 Newcastle