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Premier League
Wed, Feb 10, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 42% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
42%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%55.9%8.9%<1%
If Win 5.1%65.6%7.9%<1%
If Draw 3.0%55.5%8.9%<1%
If Lose 2.1%48.6%9.8%<1%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.1%9.0%3.1%
If Win <1%32.6%9.5%1.7%
If Draw <1%23.7%8.9%3.0%
If Lose <1%19.1%7.2%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored3.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatBrighton
10All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Brighton 0–3 Manchester Utd