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York City vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability

York City has a 38% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
York City
5-5-4Rating 1179
Form: LLWDD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
League Two
Chesterfield
5-4-5Rating 1223
Form: LWDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.8%2.8%24.4%1.5%
If Win 3.9%3.9%29.4%<1%
If Draw 2.3%2.3%24.0%1.4%
If Lose 2.1%2.1%20.9%1.8%

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%12.3%3.9%
If Win 1.2%1.2%16.1%2.6%
If Draw <1%<1%10.8%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

York CityStatChesterfield
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.7
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
71% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
York CityStatChesterfield
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.8Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Chesterfield 2–0 York City