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Newport vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 46% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%12.9%4.5%
If Win 1.7%1.7%18.2%1.7%
If Draw 1.2%1.2%14.0%3.5%
If Lose <1%<1%10.8%5.1%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%13.9%3.6%
If Win 1.5%1.5%16.3%2.7%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%11.6%3.9%
If Lose <1%<1%10.4%5.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatAccrington
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
29% / 43% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 50% / 21%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatAccrington
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Accrington 0–0 Newport