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Accrington vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 45% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.1%4.6%
If Win 1.3%1.3%16.4%2.4%
If Draw <1%<1%12.1%3.9%
If Lose <1%<1%8.2%6.2%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%1.2%13.1%4.0%
If Win 1.5%1.5%15.8%2.1%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%10.8%4.3%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
29% / 50% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatSwindon
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-26): Swindon 1–1 Accrington