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Swindon vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 42% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%1.2%13.4%4.0%
If Win 2.1%2.1%17.4%2.3%
If Draw <1%<1%13.0%3.8%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.5%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.3%4.9%
If Win 1.0%1.0%14.5%2.8%
If Draw <1%<1%9.9%4.8%
If Lose <1%<1%9.0%6.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatNewport
14Games played14
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatNewport
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 1 draws)7
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.2Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-11): Swindon 2–0 Newport