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Chesterfield vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Chesterfield has a 47% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Chesterfield
5-4-5Rating 1223
Form: LWDLD
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%1.4%13.3%3.1%
If Win 2.1%2.1%19.2%1.9%
If Draw 1.3%1.3%14.2%4.4%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%4.5%

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.8%2.8%25.5%1.2%
If Win 3.5%3.5%30.0%<1%
If Draw 2.0%2.0%20.9%1.8%
If Lose 1.3%1.3%18.5%2.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChesterfieldStatNewport
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
43% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChesterfieldStatNewport
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 1 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.8Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-10-30): Newport 4–1 Chesterfield