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Port Vale vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Port Vale has a 52% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1236
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
22%
League Two
York City
5-5-4Rating 1179
Form: LLWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%11.6%4.0%
If Win 1.8%1.8%19.2%2.0%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%12.7%3.8%
If Lose <1%<1%9.2%4.3%

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%3.7%24.3%2.0%
If Win 3.9%3.9%29.3%<1%
If Draw 2.5%2.5%22.6%2.1%
If Lose 2.0%2.0%17.5%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Port ValeStatYork City
12Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.7
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Port ValeStatYork City
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 1 draws)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-24): York City 2–0 Port Vale