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Chesterfield vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Chesterfield has a 49% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 9, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Chesterfield
5-4-5Rating 1223
Form: LWDLD
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%13.0%4.0%
If Win 1.6%1.6%18.9%1.7%
If Draw 1.1%1.1%13.2%3.5%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.1%

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.2%3.2%24.3%1.5%
If Win 4.0%4.0%27.8%<1%
If Draw 2.0%2.0%22.3%1.3%
If Lose 1.4%1.4%16.7%2.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChesterfieldStatAccrington
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 50% / 21%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChesterfieldStatAccrington
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Accrington 0–1 Chesterfield