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League Two
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Gillingham vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Gillingham has a 48% chance to win.

3-3-1 · Rating 1193
Form: WWWDD
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1168
Form: DLWDL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.1%20.0%
If Win 1.1%1.1%7.1%14.1%
If Draw <1%<1%4.9%18.7%
If Lose <1%<1%2.8%21.6%

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.5%4.5%20.0%3.7%
If Win 5.1%5.1%24.8%2.9%
If Draw 3.5%3.5%18.6%4.2%
If Lose 3.1%3.1%15.2%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GillinghamStatAccrington
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.9
43% / 43% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GillinghamStatAccrington
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Gillingham 2–0 Accrington