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Gillingham vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Gillingham has a 43% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 28%
30%
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.6%1.6%14.0%4.0%
If Win 1.8%1.8%17.1%1.8%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%12.8%3.5%
If Lose <1%<1%10.8%5.2%

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%11.7%4.1%
If Win 1.6%1.6%14.8%2.5%
If Draw <1%<1%10.8%4.1%
If Lose <1%<1%7.9%5.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GillinghamStatAccrington
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 50% / 21%
29% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GillinghamStatAccrington
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 6 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Accrington 3–1 Gillingham