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Stoke vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 47% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Apr 6, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.0%10.0%
If Win <1%<1%11.4%6.9%
If Draw <1%<1%7.5%10.5%
If Lose <1%<1%5.9%12.8%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.5%5.1%41.7%<1%
If Win 2.6%6.4%47.8%<1%
If Draw 1.3%4.2%40.3%<1%
If Lose 1.2%3.3%38.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatCardiff
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatCardiff
2All-time wins (15 meetings, 9 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-08): Cardiff 1–1 Stoke