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Championship
Tue, Apr 6, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Stoke vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 45% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
VS
1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.4%33.0%
If Win <1%<1%7.7%27.0%
If Draw <1%<1%5.8%33.3%
If Lose <1%<1%4.4%36.4%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%19.6%12.0%
If Win <1%1.2%22.9%8.6%
If Draw <1%1.2%17.5%11.3%
If Lose <1%<1%15.7%15.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatCardiff
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatCardiff
2All-time wins (15 meetings, 9 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-08): Cardiff 1–1 Stoke