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Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Stoke vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 36% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
36%
36%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.1%17.8%14.4%
If Win <1%1.5%21.6%10.0%
If Draw <1%1.1%17.1%14.2%
If Lose <1%1.1%14.7%15.9%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.1%19.3%11.2%
If Win <1%1.7%22.8%7.8%
If Draw <1%1.1%18.3%12.2%
If Lose <1%<1%14.7%13.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatBurnley
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded2.1
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatBurnley
1All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-01-01): Burnley 0–0 Stoke