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Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 37% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.6%27.1%53.2%<1%
If Win 14.4%33.0%53.6%<1%
If Draw 10.4%27.0%55.2%<1%
If Lose 8.2%22.9%54.2%<1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%11.4%50.4%<1%
If Win 4.8%13.5%54.0%<1%
If Draw 3.5%10.4%50.3%1.2%
If Lose 2.3%7.7%49.2%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatSouthampton
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored2.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatSouthampton
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-12): Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough