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Championship
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 53% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.4%19.9%11.7%
If Win <1%1.7%25.7%8.2%
If Draw <1%1.1%19.1%10.3%
If Lose <1%<1%15.4%14.3%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%12.0%49.5%<1%
If Win 5.4%14.3%53.6%<1%
If Draw 3.2%10.2%49.2%1.4%
If Lose 2.7%8.6%46.5%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatStoke
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatStoke
10All-time wins (31 meetings, 6 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Stoke 1–2 Swansea