← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Cardiff vs Swansea
Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Cardiff vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 37% chance to win.

1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
VS
5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.8%12.9%50.2%1.1%
If Win 5.2%14.9%52.6%<1%
If Draw 3.1%10.5%52.0%<1%
If Lose 3.1%8.8%47.2%1.5%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.0%34.2%
If Win <1%<1%7.8%27.2%
If Draw <1%<1%5.7%34.3%
If Lose <1%<1%4.6%38.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSwansea
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 25% / 12%
25% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSwansea
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Cardiff 3–0 Swansea