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Burnley vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 46% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.6%6.5%41.9%<1%
If Win 3.3%8.2%50.4%<1%
If Draw 1.8%5.1%44.0%<1%
If Lose 1.2%3.1%36.1%<1%

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.4%19.5%
If Win <1%<1%5.5%14.4%
If Draw <1%<1%3.1%22.4%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%27.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatStoke
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.6
2.1Avg goals conceded1.2
7% / 47% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 13% / 27%
0% Home win % / Away win % 62%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurnleyStatStoke
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
0.9Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2025-01-01): Burnley 0–0 Stoke