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Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Stoke vs Wrexham Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 38% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
VS
2-4-2 · Rating 1656
Form: WLDDW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.4%28.0%6.6%
If Win <1%3.8%35.3%4.0%
If Draw <1%2.1%26.5%7.8%
If Lose <1%1.6%22.2%8.5%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%17.2%12.8%
If Win <1%2.0%23.2%7.2%
If Draw <1%1.0%18.5%11.4%
If Lose <1%<1%14.2%15.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatWrexham
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 50% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatWrexham
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Wrexham 2–0 Stoke