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Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT

Bolton vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 37% chance to win.

3-1-4 · Rating 1600
Form: WWLLL
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.1%17.8%14.7%
If Win <1%1.7%23.6%9.5%
If Draw <1%<1%17.3%14.2%
If Lose <1%<1%12.1%18.4%

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%9.3%23.9%
If Win <1%<1%12.8%15.7%
If Draw <1%<1%8.6%25.1%
If Lose <1%<1%6.0%30.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatBurnley
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.9Avg goals conceded2.1
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatBurnley
2All-time wins (7 meetings, 1 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2016-02-27): Bolton 1–2 Burnley