Buccaneers @ Bears

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Buccaneers 24 - Bears 27
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
3-5 Rating 1491
Form: LWLWW
24 – 27
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Chicago Bears +7.7
Chicago
Bears
6-2 Rating 1618
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Buccaneers Bears
All-time wins 22 40
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 16.9 21.3
Last meeting 27 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Buccaneers Bears
Games played 8 8
Avg points scored 22.2 26.8
Avg points conceded 18.9 20.0
Win percentage 38% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 75%