Final Score: Heat 111 - Suns 102
Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Heat @ Suns

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
24-22 Rating 1518
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
25%
75%
Projected margin: Phoenix Suns +6.9
Suns
27-18 Rating 1664
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Suns
All-time wins 34 40
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 103.5 105.1
Last meeting 127 121

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Suns
Games played 46 45
Avg points scored 119.9 114.4
Avg points conceded 118.4 111.8
Win percentage 52% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 74%