Padres @ Diamondbacks
Padres
Model Probability
Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 1–5 | Diamondbacks +4 | Diamondbacks +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 4–5 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 5–6 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 0–7 | Padres +7 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 4–1 | Giants +3 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres Dodgers | 439-546-4 | 44.6% | +11.2 | 967 |
| Padres Giants | 467-501-3 | 48.2% | +14.6 | 938 |
| Padres Braves | 307-376 | 44.9% | -10.8 | 643 |
| Padres Reds | 313-353-4 | 47.0% | +10.5 | 640 |
| Padres Astros | 297-322-3 | 48.0% | +8.3 | 598 |