| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2004 | 6–7 | Diamondbacks +1 | Padres +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 10–4 | Rangers +6 | Rangers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 2–10 | Royals +8 | White Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 6–3 | Nationals +3 | Mets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 7–5 | Red Sox +2 | Red Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 3–9 | Astros +6 | Astros +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 1–5 | Tigers +4 | Rays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 4–3 | Marlins +1 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 5–1 | Brewers +4 | Cardinals +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 5–4 | Angels +1 | Athletics +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 3–7 | Dodgers +4 | Dodgers +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 2–4 | Blue Jays +2 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 8–6 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 7–5 | Red Sox +2 | Red Sox +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 3–1 | Pirates +2 | Reds +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2004 | 5–6 | Twins +1 | Twins +0.9 | Regular Season |