Final Score: Pirates 3 - Reds 1
Saturday, October 2, 2004 at 1:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
70-89 Rating 1453
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Reds
76-84 Rating 1464
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 217 252
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 159 160
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.6
Win percentage 44% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 51%