Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 3
Saturday, October 2, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
82-78 Rating 1520
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
85-75 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 82 91
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.7 5.0
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%