Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 7
Thursday, September 30, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
82-76 Rating 1524
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Phillies
83-75 Rating 1518
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 82 89
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.0
Last meeting 8 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%