Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 2
Tuesday, September 21, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
76-73 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
79-70 Rating 1529
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 86 82
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.9 4.7
Last meeting 1 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%