Final Score: Marlins 5 - Nationals 2
Tuesday, September 28, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
80-76 Rating 1520
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Nationals
65-92 Rating 1472
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 89 82
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 156 157
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 51% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 45%