Final Score: Phillies 2 - Nationals 1
Sunday, September 26, 2004 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
80-74 Rating 1516
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Nationals
65-90 Rating 1476
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 305 294
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 154 155
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.7
Win percentage 52% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 46%