Final Score: Mets 1 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, September 21, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
65-85 Rating 1453
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Nationals
63-87 Rating 1478
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 296 295
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 10 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 43% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 46%