Final Score: Pirates 2 - Braves 3
Sunday, June 7, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
34-31 Rating 1482
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Braves
44-21 Rating 1547
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Braves
All-time wins 256 279
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Braves
Games played 65 65
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.5
Win percentage 52% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 66%