Final Score: Cubs 7 - Pirates 2
Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
30-26 Rating 1527
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Pirates
29-27 Rating 1479
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 461 483
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 56 56
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 54% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 52%