Final Score: Astros 8 - Cubs 5
Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
22-31 Rating 1504
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
29-23 Rating 1531
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 319 280
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 53 52
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.3
Win percentage 42% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 64%