Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 2
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Astros @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 317 | 280 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 0 |
| Stat | Astros | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 50 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 39% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 32% | 69% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Minnesota Twins
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Twins
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Minnesota Twins
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Texas Rangers
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Texas Rangers
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Texas Rangers
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Seattle Mariners
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Seattle Mariners
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Seattle Mariners
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Cubs
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Chicago White Sox
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
@ Chicago White Sox
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Chicago White Sox
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Atlanta Braves
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Atlanta Braves
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Atlanta Braves
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Texas Rangers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3