Final Score: Mariners 10 - Astros 2
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Mariners @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 102 | 135 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 42 | 42 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 38% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 45% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Houston Astros
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Chicago White Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Chicago White Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 20
12-8
vs Atlanta Braves
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Atlanta Braves
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Atlanta Braves
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Kansas City Royals
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Kansas City Royals
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Kansas City Royals
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
Astros
vs Seattle Mariners
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Boston Red Sox
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Boston Red Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3