Final Score: Pirates 5 - Astros 1
Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Pirates @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 287 | 307 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 11 |
| Stat | Pirates | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 62 | 63 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 45% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Houston Astros
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
@ Houston Astros
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Minnesota Twins
May 31, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Minnesota Twins
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
vs Minnesota Twins
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago Cubs
May 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Chicago Cubs
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Chicago Cubs
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs Chicago Cubs
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Astros
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Texas Rangers
May 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Texas Rangers
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Texas Rangers
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ Texas Rangers
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Chicago Cubs
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5